Game Preview: Ohio State vs Michigan

There are Saturdays in college football, and then there is this one. Some weeks are about rankings, narratives, matchups, and momentum. But this week? This is where everything funnels into one point of impact. The noise quiets, the season narrows, and Ohio State steps into Ann Arbor knowing the next 60 minutes will echo for decades — in careers, in legacies, in living rooms across two states, and in every conversation that mentions the rivalry without needing to name it.

For four long years, the scar tissue has built. The clocks have been reset. The reminders have been constant — in interviews, in practice facilities, on walls, in whispers, in the weight room at 5:30 a.m. Players inherit it. Coaches carry it. Fans feel it like a pulse. This isn’t a week; it’s an ache. And that ache now stands on the doorstep of its final chance to be healed in the regular season.

The stakes aren’t subtle. Beat Michigan, and Ohio State not only secures a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game for the first time since 2020, but plants its flag as the unquestioned No. 1 team in college football heading into December. Lose, and it becomes five straight — something unthinkable in Columbus not long ago — while Michigan keeps its flickering Big Ten title hopes alive behind a freshman quarterback and a head coach who inherited a program still shaking off the fallout of last year.

Yet for all that weight, Ryan Day has insisted — almost stubbornly — that the message inside the Woody isn’t rage or revenge. It’s routine. It’s preparation. It’s discipline.

“You have to play with emotion, but you can’t let it play with you,” Day said this week. “Use it as nitrous… not the primary fuel.”

He knows better than anyone that you don’t win this game by playing tight. You don’t win it by gripping the sword too hard. You win it by doing exactly what has made this Ohio State team look more machine than mortal for 11 straight weeks: execute, stay loose, and let overwhelming talent and cohesion crush the will of the enemy.

Across the field, Michigan has played its role perfectly — the outsider this time, the wounded wolf with everything to gain and nothing to lose. Their freshman quarterback, Bryce Underwood, has been just inconsistent enough to raise doubts, but just dangerous enough to fear. Their star running back, Jordan Marshall, has added fuel to a rivalry bonfire with his comments about “culture” and why Ohio State wasn’t for him.

“I didn’t like a few other people there… I wanted to be around better people,” Marshall said, taking a clear shot across the border.

It’s bulletin-board stuff, and Michigan knows it. They also know that despite two losses — to Oklahoma and USC — everything changes if they win this one. As tight end Marlin Klein put it:

“If you win this game, you’ll be remembered in Ann Arbor forever.”

Ohio State remembers too. They remember grinding out a 13–10 defeat last November despite holding Michigan to just 234 yards. They remember two missed field goals. They remember the feeling of being the better team everywhere but on the scoreboard. They remember the curse of slow starts in The Game. And they remember their own promise: that the streak ends now.

This time, the Buckeyes bring the best defense in America — a unit suffocating opponents to levels not seen in Columbus since the early 2000s — and an offense that boasts both the nation’s most efficient quarterback (Julian Sayin, 79.4% completions) and the best wide receiver duo in the sport (Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate). They bring confidence forged in blowouts, not swagger born from entitlement. They bring the weight of a season built for the moment where everything becomes a single question:

Are you ready to finish what last year started?

The die, as Caesar once said, is cast. Ohio State has crossed its Rubicon. Ann Arbor awaits — with snow in the forecast, two top-15 teams on the stage, College GameDay and Big Noon Kickoff in town, and a rivalry that needs no oxygen to burn.

Now comes the final march.

Know The Opponent:

Head Coach: Sherrone Moore
2025 Record: 9–2 (7–1 Big Ten)
Conference: Big Ten
Location: Ann Arbor, MI

Ohio State Preview

There’s been a certain steadiness to Ohio State all season, a kind of quiet inevitability that’s grown stronger each week, and nowhere is that more apparent than inside the walls of the Woody Hayes Athletic Center. Nothing has felt rushed. Nothing has felt chaotic. It’s been all process, all discipline, all business — and now, at 11–0 and back atop the national rankings, that methodical march leads directly into Ann Arbor.

What makes this Buckeye team different than the last four editions that walked into The Game and walked out with regrets is the fusion of two things Ryan Day has chased since the moment he took the headset in 2019: an elite quarterback-driven offense layered with explosive talent and a defense that can drag an opponent straight into the mud and hold them there. Day said earlier this week, “You have to play with emotion, but you can’t let it play with you… they know how important this is,” and you can feel it — this group is carrying confidence, not pressure. That difference matters now more than ever.

Julian Sayin has been the calm in every storm this fall. The redshirt freshman leads the nation in completion percentage (79.4%) and ranks No. 2 in passer rating (185.4), running the offense with the kind of poise that normally belongs to fifth-year seniors with mortgages, not teenagers with student meal plans. He’s thrown for 2,832 yards with 28 total touchdowns against just four interceptions, and more importantly, he’s avoided the kind of emotion-driven mistakes that have sunk Ohio State late in past editions of The Game.

His arsenal is fully loaded again. Jeremiah Smith — the competitor who admitted openly, “I’ve been hating them since high school… we’ve just got to go out there and be our best” — enters with 902 yards and 10 touchdowns, even after barely playing the past two weeks. Carnell Tate, who has seven scores and nearly 20 yards per catch, is also expected back. Brandon Inniss and Max Klare have held down the fort in their absence, with Klare exploding for 105 yards against Rutgers and becoming the safety valve Sayin trusts when Michigan drops into coverage-heavy looks.

There will be noise all week about running the football because of “the rushing battle streak” — and that’s fine for message boards and barstools — but Ohio State isn’t built like the old JT Barrett/Urban Meyer teams that needed 45 carries to win a fistfight. They want to lean on the arm of a Heisman contender and the most dangerous wide receiver room in America. Day already shut down the narrative earlier this week: “We’ve got to do what it takes to win the game.” Translation: if throwing it 40 times is the answer, then hand Sayin the keys and watch him go.

That said, the run game matters in the red zone and in the final four-minute stretch if Ohio State leads late. Bo Jackson is playing his best football heading into rivalry week, up to 835 rushing yards on 6.5 yards per carry, with Isaiah West and James Peoples giving the rotation fresh legs and home-run potential. Ohio State’s offensive line — particularly the right guard trio of Padilla, Tshabola and Onianwa — has stabilized in pass protection but still has something to prove against a Michigan front anchored by Derrick Moore and Rayshaun Benny.

This is a matchup where the Buckeyes should dictate tempo through the air, then use the run game to slam the door once the Wolverines start scrambling to adjust.

If Ohio State walks into Ann Arbor with swagger, it’s because of the defense. Matt Patricia’s group has smothered every opponent on the schedule, holding all 10 straight opponents under 300 yards and allowing a national-best 16 points or fewer in every game. And this week, the challenge becomes a little more personal.

Michigan’s run game is the best Ohio State has faced all season — even without Justice Haynes — thanks to Jordan Marshall and a scheme designed to stress linebackers with downhill action. But the Buckeyes’ front is built specifically for games like this. Kayden McDonald and Tywone Malone Jr. have turned the interior into concrete, while Caden Curry and Kenyatta Jackson Jr. have developed into the kind of bookend pass-rushers this program has been missing since Chase Young roamed the edge. Behind them, Sonny Styles and Arvell Reese have been the most complete linebacker tandem in the Big Ten.

This defense is fast, physical, and merciless. It’s as simple as that.

And this week, they get their shot at Bryce Underwood — a freshman with a five-star pedigree who has also been exactly what true freshmen look like against real defenses. Underwood has athleticism and arm talent, but he’s also thrown six interceptions, completed just 61% of his passes, and struggled repeatedly when asked to diagnose disguised coverages or fight his way out of long down-and-distance situations.

Patricia’s defense eats quarterbacks like that alive.

As Sonny Styles put it bluntly: “You’ve got to keep him in the pocket… it’s got to be 11 as one.” Ohio State has done that to every mobile quarterback they’ve faced this year, and if Underwood becomes one-dimensional, the Silver Bullets can force the kind of mistakes that flip rivalry games on their head.

The scars of 2024 remain. Jayden Fielding’s missed field goals are still part of the rivalry’s modern lore, and Fielding didn’t hide from it this week: “To come back this year and flip the script would be a dream come true.” He has made 13 of 15 this season, but he hasn’t been under this kind of pressure yet. Joe McGuire, meanwhile, must avoid the shanks that gifted Michigan short fields last November.

It won’t decide the game… unless it does.

For the first time since 2019, Ohio State enters The Game as the unquestioned better team. The roster is deeper. The defense is elite. The quarterback is special. The skill players are unmatched. And the scars of four straight losses have hardened into focus, not fear.

Everything Ohio State has played for — the Big Ten, the playoff, the rivalry, the legacy of this senior class — funnels into these 60 minutes. They’ve been the more complete team all year, but Ann Arbor demands you prove it.

And this team is built — finally, fully — to do exactly that.

Michigan Preview

Michigan enters The Game at 9–2 with a résumé that is far more turbulent than its record suggests, a season defined by uneven quarterback play, a damaged roster missing several key starters, and a program that has struggled to replace the raw defensive talent that carried it through the past three years. Sherrone Moore’s team has beaten the opponents it was supposed to beat, but the Wolverines have been exposed when facing elite competition; losses to Oklahoma and USC revealed a ceiling that looks far lower than what Ann Arbor came to expect under Jim Harbaugh. Still, Michigan arrives at the doorstep of rivalry week very much alive — with a mathematical path to Indianapolis and a chance to extend a four-game winning streak over the Buckeyes. That’s more than enough emotional fuel for this roster to punch well above its statistical weight.

Everything in this offense begins with freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood, a five-star phenom who flashes every bit of the arm talent that made him the most coveted recruit in the country but also every bit of the inconsistency expected from a first-year starter. Underwood has thrown for 2,166 yards and nine touchdowns while completing just over 62% of his passes; at times he has looked electric, but the film shows long stretches where his processing slows, his footwork frays, and freshman tendencies surface. As Ryan Day put it this week, “Talent all over the field. Starts on offense with the quarterback — he’s a dangerous player.” Michigan asks Underwood to do a little of everything: designed runs, bootlegs, deep play-action shots, and broken-play improvisation. When the picture is clean, he can hurt anyone. When the picture muddies — and Ohio State muddies pictures better than anyone in the country — the volatility spikes.

The real lifeline for this offense, however, is the ground game, which remains the beating heart of Michigan football even after the departure of Harbaugh, Blake Corum, Hassan Haskins, and Donovan Edwards. With Justice Haynes out, the responsibility falls on Jordan Marshall, the Cincinnati native who didn’t hesitate to take a public swipe at Ohio State this week: “I didn’t want to be around people that were about themselves… I wanted to be around better people.” Marshall may have provided bulletin-board material, but he also brings production that commands respect. He’s totaled 871 yards, averages 6.1 yards per carry, and has rattled off three straight 100-yard performances when healthy. His running style — low center of gravity, quick feet through the hole, and a willingness to finish through contact — embodies exactly the kind of back who has historically found success in this rivalry.

Behind him, Michigan has pieced together capable complementary production from Bryson Kuzdzal, who ran for 100 yards and three scores against Maryland while Marshall rested. What makes the run game particularly challenging to defend is not just its talent, but its structure. Michigan ranks top-10 nationally in both yards per game and yards per carry, generating efficient, downhill movement behind a veteran interior featuring Greg Crippen and Giovanni El-Hadi. This is the one area of the offense that hums with the physical identity Michigan tries to project — and the area where Ohio State’s No. 2 run defense must be at its sharpest.

The passing game is still finding itself, but freshman wide receiver Andrew Marsh has quietly emerged as Michigan’s most dynamic weapon outside. Marsh leads the team with 641 receiving yards and is coming off a monstrous 12-catch, 189-yard performance at Northwestern. His release package is advanced for his age, and he has enough vertical speed to threaten Davison Igbinosun and Jermaine Mathews Jr. if Underwood has time to breathe. Complementary targets like Donaven McCulley and Semaj Morgan round out a receiving corps that is talented but young — and prone to disappearing for long stretches when Underwood becomes hesitant.

Defensively, this is not last year’s Michigan. That much is clear. The Wolverines no longer have Mason Graham and Kenneth Grant anchoring the interior, nor the NFL-caliber rotation behind them. But while the raw personnel has taken a step back, Moore has leaned on structure and discipline to keep the unit afloat. Michigan is allowing only 2.98 yards per carry and sits 11th nationally in run defense, a testament to veteran leadership and a front seven that plays sound, assignment-driven football. Derrick Moore, who chirped about the Buckeyes at Big Ten Media Days, has backed it up with 9.5 sacks and a disruptive season off the edge. He’s the defensive player Ohio State must identify pre-snap on every passing down.

The back end is where injuries have hurt most. Losing Rod Moore removed the secondary’s veteran communicator, and Michigan’s pass defense has reflected the loss — ranking a middling 52nd in the country. Still, players like Brandyn Hillman, TJ Metcalf, and linebacker Cole Sullivan have shown enough toughness and ball skills to keep the defense afloat in key situations. Sullivan, in particular, has become Michigan’s most opportunistic defender with three interceptions, each flipping momentum in tight games.

One element cannot be overlooked: Michigan’s special teams have quietly been an adventure all season. Kicker Dominic Zvada, an All-American last season, has hit just 63% of his field goal attempts and has struggled between 30–39 yards — a range that usually defines tight rivalry games. Moore admitted, “We needed that kick,” when Zvada finally connected at Maryland last week. If this game tilts into a field-position battle, Michigan cannot afford the inconsistencies that have plagued it throughout the season.

Emotionally, Michigan is as backed into a corner as a 9–2 team can be. A win means a chance to steal the Big Ten East, a ticket to Indianapolis, and a claim that the rivalry’s momentum belongs to them for a half-decade. A loss means the four-year streak is over, Ohio State’s revenge is complete, and their own season ends without a true signature win. That pressure sits heavily on a young quarterback, an injured roster, and a defense that has been solid but not elite.

Make no mistake: Michigan will empty the tank. Trick plays. Aggressive fourth-down calls. Quarterback run packages. Emotional haymakers. This team knows its path is narrow — but in Ann Arbor, narrow paths have led to chaos before.

And Ohio State knows that better than anyone.

Buckeye Spotlight

Julian Sayin. It’s easy to pick the quarterback in a game of this magnitude, but legends are made in The Game. Not since CJ Stroud in 2022 has Ohio State had a true Heisman contender with a real shot at the trophy, and Julian Sayin is on the cusp of joining that elite company. If Sayin rises to the occasion, he could separate himself from the pack and etch his name in Buckeye lore. No disrespect to the environments at Washington or Illinois, but nothing compares to the intensity of Ann Arbor in late November. This will be the biggest road test of Sayin’s career as a starter, and the success of Ohio State’s offense—and Ryan Day’s chance to flip the script on “days since Ohio State beat Michigan”—will ride on his performance.

Wolverine Spotlight

Bryce Underwood. The $12 million freshman has had his share of growing pains, but Bryce Underwood put together one of his best games last week despite Michigan’s depleted backfield. With Jordan Marshall possibly returning from a shoulder injury, the pressure will be on Underwood’s decision-making and his ability to counter Matt Patricia’s aggressive Buckeye defense. Underwood famously declared he wouldn’t lose to Ohio State when he signed with Michigan, but Buckeye fans are hoping the team will make him eat those words come Saturday afternoon.

Water Cooler Stat of the Game

2 Interceptions.In each of the last two Ohio State vs. Michigan matchups, Buckeye quarterbacks Kyle McCord and Will Howard both threw two interceptions apiece. Crucially, the first pick in each game set up Michigan’s opening score, and both times the turnovers handed the Wolverines the ball deep in the red zone. This year, Julian Sayin has shown a tendency to make the safe throw rather than force a deep shot—especially with Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate sidelined last week. For Ohio State to flip the script in Ann Arbor, they must limit turnovers and avoid giving Michigan short fields and easy scoring chances.

Prediction

There are years when The Game feels like a collision of equals. There are years when it feels like chaos waiting to happen. And then there’s this year — where one team has looked like the most complete roster in the country for three straight months, and the other is trying to survive on grit, attitude, and a freshman quarterback who’s about to face the biggest defensive test of his life.

Michigan will not roll over. They never do. Bryce Underwood has enough arm talent to hit a few explosives, and Jordan Marshall — if healthy — will run with every ounce of Ohio-born fury in his chest. The Wolverines will script early shots, try to steal cheap yards on RPOs, and use tempo to keep Ohio State’s front from teeing off. The first quarter may feel tense, messy, maybe even quiet — like two heavyweights trading jabs while waiting to see who flinches first.

But eventually, games like this bend toward talent, discipline, and depth.

Ohio State’s defense is built specifically to smother offenses like Michigan’s: a run-first unit with a freshman passer who hasn’t yet lived through the fire of Patricia’s shifting coverage shells. Once the Buckeyes squeeze out the run and force Underwood into known passing situations, the avalanche usually comes fast. Reese and Styles are two of the best QB-hunters in America, and the secondary rarely gives up a clean window. This is where mistakes compound — tipped balls, sacks on second down turning into third-and-forever, and the kind of stalled drives that flip field position.

Offensively, the Buckeyes have every advantage. “You have to play with emotion, but you can’t let it play with you,” Ryan Day said — and Sayin is the embodiment of that message. Calm, hyper-accurate, ruthless when he sees leverage. With Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate trending toward full-go, Michigan’s secondary will be stretched past its limits. Even if the Wolverines sink deep into coverage, Max Klare, Brandon Inniss, and the backs give OSU the flexibility to adapt. And unlike last year, Ohio State won’t be baited into a stubborn run script. They’ll attack matchups until Michigan proves they can stop it — which they haven’t done against any elite passing attack all season.

Special teams matter too. “To have a game like I did last year… flip the script would be a dream come true,” Jayden Fielding said — and this is the kind of rivalry rewrite he’s been waiting for. One clean day from him turns last year’s heartbreak into this year’s exorcism.

In the end, The Game rarely turns into a blowout. But this year lines up for Ohio State to control the middle quarters, widen the gap, and force Michigan to chase — something the Wolverines simply aren’t built to do. The defense flexes one more time, the passing game delivers the knockout punches, and Julian Sayin begins his own rivalry legacy.

And after four long years of scar tissue, the Buckeyes finally walk off the Michigan Stadium turf with gold pants earned, not promised.

Ohio State 31 – Michigan 13

Photo Credit: 10tv.com

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